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Interdisciplinary assessment of sea-level rise and climate change impacts on the lower Nile delta, Egypt

机译:对埃及尼罗河下游三角洲海平面上升和气候变化影响的跨学科评估

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摘要

CLImate-induced changes on WAter and SECurity (CLIWASEC) was a cluster of three complementary EC-FP7 projects assessing climate-change impacts throughout the Mediterranean on: hydrological cycles (CLIMB — CLimate-Induced changes on the hydrology of Mediterranean Basins); water security (WASSERMed — Water Availability and Security in Southern EuRope and the Mediterranean) and human security connected with pos- sible hydro-climatic conflicts (CLICO — CLImate change hydro-COnflicts and human security). The Nile delta case study was common between the projects. CLIWASEC created an integrated forum for modelling and monitoring to understand potential impacts across sectors. This paper summarises key results from an integrated assessment of potential challenges to water-related security issues, focusing on expected sea-level rise impacts by the middle of the century. We use this common focus to illustrate the added value of project clustering. CLIWASEC pursued multidisciplinary research by adopting a single research objective: sea-level rise related water security threats, resulting in a more holistic view of problems and potential solutions. In fragmenting re- search, policy-makers can fail to understand how multiple issues can materialize from one driver. By combining efforts, an integrated assessment of water security threats in the lower Nile is formulated, offering policy-makers a clearer picture of inter-related issues to society and environment. The main issues identified by each project (land subsidence, saline intrusion — CLIMB; water supply overexploitation, land loss — WASSERMed; employ- ment and housing security — CLICO), are in fact related. Water overexploitation is exacerbating land subsidence and saline intrusion, impacting on employment and placing additional pressure on remaining agricultural land and the underdeveloped housing market. All these have wider implications for regional development. This richer understanding could be critical in making better policy decisions when attempting to mitigate climate and social change impacts. The CLIWASEC clustering offers an encouraging path for the new European Commission Horizon 2020 programme to follow.
机译:气候变化对水和安全性的影响是由三个互补的EC-FP7项目组成,这些项目评估了整个地中海对气候变化的影响:水文循环(CLIMB —气候变化对地中海盆地水文学的影响);水资源安全(WASSERMed-南部EuRope和地中海的水供应与安全)以及与可能的水文气候冲突相关的人类安全(CLICO-气候变化水冲突和人类安全)。尼罗河三角洲案例研究在两个项目之间很常见。 CLIWASEC创建了一个用于建模和监视的集成论坛,以了解跨部门的潜在影响。本文总结了对与水相关的安全问题的潜在挑战的综合评估的主要结果,重点是到本世纪中叶预期的海平面上升影响。我们使用这个共同的焦点来说明项目集群的附加值。 CLIWASEC通过采用单一研究目标进行多学科研究:与海平面上升有关的水安全威胁,从而对问题和潜在解决方案有了更全面的了解。在零散的研究中,决策者可能无法理解如何从一个驱动程序中实现多个问题。通过共同努力,制定了对尼罗河下游水安全威胁的综合评估,为决策者提供了与社会和环境相互关联的问题的更清晰图片。每个项目确定的主要问题(土地沉降,盐分入侵— CLIMB;供水过度开发,土地流失— WASSERMed;就业和住房安全— CLICO)实际上是相关的。水的过度开采加剧了土地沉降和盐分入侵,对就业产生了影响,并对剩余的农业用地和欠发达的住房市场造成了更大的压力。所有这些对区域发展具有更广泛的意义。在尝试减轻气候和社会变化的影响时,这种更丰富的理解对于做出更好的政策决策至关重要。 CLIWASEC群集为新的欧盟委员会Horizo​​n 2020计划提供了令人鼓舞的途径。

著录项

  • 作者

    Roson, Roberto;

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  • 年度 2015
  • 总页数
  • 原文格式 PDF
  • 正文语种 eng
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